计及管网与建筑虚拟储能的综合能源系统MPC滚动优化调度

沈昊天; 徐玉杰; 周学志; 刘猛; 朱轶林; 陈海生

doi:10.19799/j.cnki.2095-4239.2026.0731

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计及管网与建筑虚拟储能的综合能源系统MPC滚动优化调度

XXXX | 更新时间：2026-09-30

- 计及管网与建筑虚拟储能的综合能源系统MPC滚动优化调度
- MPC Rolling Optimal Dispatch of Integrated Energy System Considering Pipeline and Building Virtual Energy Storage
- 储能科学与技术 2026年页码：1-12
- 作者机构：
  
  1.中科南京未来能源系统研究院，江苏南京 211135
  2.中国科学院工程热物理研究所，北京 100190
  3.中国科学院大学，北京 100006
  4.中国标准化研究院，北京 100191
- 作者简介：
  
  沈昊天（1995—），男，硕士，工程师，储能与综合力系统研究方向，E-mail：shenhaotian@njiet.cn；
  徐玉杰，研究员，压缩空气储能与分布式能源系统研究方向，E-mail：xuyujie@iet.cn。
- 基金信息：
  
  国家重点研发计划(2023YFF0612001);国家重点研发计划项目(2022YFB2405201);中国科学院与美国联邦科研机构合作项目(117GJHZ2023009MI);中国科学院战略性先导科技专项资助(XDC0190000);江苏省碳达峰碳中和科技创新专项重大创新载体建设项目(BM2022001)
- DOI：10.19799/j.cnki.2095-4239.2026.0731
  中图分类号： TK 01
- 收稿：2026-08-24，
  
  修回：2026-09-30，
  
  网络首发：2026-09-30，
- 稿件说明：
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沈昊天, 徐玉杰, 周学志, 等. 计及管网与建筑虚拟储能的综合能源系统MPC滚动优化调度[J]. 储能科学与技术, XXXX, XX(XX): 1-12.

Shen Haotian, Xu Yujie, Zhou Xuezhi, et al. MPC Rolling Optimal Dispatch of Integrated Energy System Considering Pipeline and Building Virtual Energy Storage[J]. Energy Storage Science and Technology, XXXX, XX(XX): 1-12.
沈昊天, 徐玉杰, 周学志, 等. 计及管网与建筑虚拟储能的综合能源系统MPC滚动优化调度[J]. 储能科学与技术, XXXX, XX(XX): 1-12. DOI： 10.19799/j.cnki.2095-4239.2026.0731.

Shen Haotian, Xu Yujie, Zhou Xuezhi, et al. MPC Rolling Optimal Dispatch of Integrated Energy System Considering Pipeline and Building Virtual Energy Storage[J]. Energy Storage Science and Technology, XXXX, XX(XX): 1-12. DOI： 10.19799/j.cnki.2095-4239.2026.0731.

摘要

针对综合能源系统供热侧源荷时序不匹配、热力管网动态特性利用不足以及建筑热惯性难以主动参与调度的问题，本文提出一种计及管网与建筑虚拟储能显式调度的MPC-MILP滚动优化方法。构建包含热电联产机组、燃气锅炉、电热泵、太阳能集热器、实体储热、5.0 km供热管网及工业厂房、住宅小区、商业楼宇三类建筑热用户的源-网-荷-储系统；采用有限差分PDE描述管网传输延迟与沿程散热，采用双节点RC模型描述建筑室温与墙体温度动态。在热平衡中引入管网和建筑虚拟储能等效充放热功率，并将其调用量反馈至供水温度扰动和建筑实际得热量，使虚拟储能调度与物理热状态形成闭环。算例结果表明，系统热负荷满足率达到100%，总运行成本为65441.2元；虚拟储能最大放热功率为369.0 kW，最大充热功率为1000.0 kW，峰段平均放热194.9 kW，谷段平均充热603.1 kW。按日内实际调用量统计，TES实体储能、管网虚拟储能和建筑虚拟储能分别为1130.6、1940.7和6058.1 kWh，三类建筑室温均处于舒适边界内。等效折算结果表明，利用管网与建筑热惯性可减少约4770.2 kWh新增实体TES等效配置需求，并形成约217.0万元的潜在初投资节约。结果验证了两类热惯性资源作为受约束虚拟储能参与MPC调度的可行性、数值可靠性与工程经济价值。

Abstract

To address the temporal mismatch between heat supply and demand

insufficient utilization of district-heating-network dynamics

and the difficulty of actively incorporating building thermal inertia into dispatch

this paper proposes an MPC-MILP rolling optimization method with explicit scheduling of pipeline and building virtual energy storage. A source-network-load-storage integrated energy system is established

including combined heat and power units

gas boilers

electric heat pumps

solar collectors

physical thermal energy storage

a 5.0 km district heating pipeline

and three types of heat users: industrial buildings

residential communities

and commercial buildings. A finite-difference PDE model is used to describe pipeline transmission delay and heat loss

while a two-node RC model is adopted to characterize indoor and wall temperature dynamics. Equivalent charging and discharging powers of pipeline and building virtual energy storage are introduced into the heat balance and fed back to the physical thermal states. Case results show that the heat-load satisfaction rate reaches 100%

and the total operating cost is 65441.2 yuan. The maximum virtual discharging and charging powers are 369.0 kW and 1000.0 kW

respectively

with an average discharging power of 194.9 kW during peak periods and an average charging power of 603.1 kW during valley periods. In terms of actual daily utilization

the physical TES

pipeline virtual energy storage

and building virtual energy storage are 1130.6

1940.7

and 6058.1 kWh

respectively

while all indoor temperatures remain within comfort limits. Equivalent conversion indicates that

under the assumed investment parameters

using pipeline and building thermal inertia can reduce the equivalent demand for newly installed physical TES by about 4770.2 kWh and provide a potential initial-investment saving of about 2.17 million yuan. The results verify the feasibility

numerical reliability

and engineering economic value of incorporating these two thermal inertia resources as constrained virtual energy storage in MPC-based heat dispatch

关键词

Keywords

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